Out of every team in the NFL, I’m really can’t get a handle on the Denver Broncos. They have some nice pieces in place, with Von Miller and Bradley Chubb being one of the most dominant defensive pairings in the league. The main issue for me is under centre, and more precisely which Joe Flacco are you going to get, now aged 34 he isn’t going to go out and win you games, he needs the likes of Phillip Lindsay, Emmanuel Sanders, Courtland Sutton and rookie Noah Fant to break big plays, with the defence being at its stifling best.
In terms of touchdown value, Flacco offers very little, having scored just 16 times in 163 career starts. If Flacco is supplanted by Drew Lock then it may be worth taking a look, with the rookie rushing for 6 scores in his last full season at Missouri.
All the talk going into last season was about Royce Freeman’s chances of being offensive rookie of the year, and whilst he started well, he was quickly pushed out of the offence as Phillip Lindsay emerged, and proceeded to rush for over 1,000 yards, at a healthy 5.4 yards per carry. He also offered great value midway through the season as he chipped in with 10 touchdowns with his odds regularly hovering around 2/1.
The receivers look mediocre at best, with Sanders now past 30 and coming off a ruptured achillies, he was never exactly a touchdown machine in his career (37 scores in 127 games), so it’s up to second year man Cortland Sutton to take a major step up. He had a decent first season averaging nearly 17 yards a catch, although he only found the end-zone 4 times, so offers little value for the moment. The rest of the wide-outs barely got a look in, so it will be a case of wait and see.
1st round tight-end Noah Fant was a touchdown machine in college, scoring 18 times in 24 starts whilst at Iowa. Meaning Fant might be worth backing early in the season.
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Touchdown Profit 