New Orleans Saints – Where’s The Value?

Saints-collar-fIf it wasn’t for quite possibly one of the worst none pass interference calls in NFL history would the New Orleans Saints be reigning NFL champions right now? In my opinion, yes they would. The issue now becomes whether or not they can replicate last season’s form, whilst keeping their key players injury free. The roster still looks extremely strong with Mark Ingram being replaced by Latavius Murray and with long-time centre Max Unger now retired they drafted Erik McCoy to fill the void. On defence it will be interesting to see how much progression Marcus Davenport can make in his second season, as he showed flashes in his rookie year, especially with Cameron Jordan on the other side.

Drew Brees had his best season in terms of rushing scores, but I don’t expect a repeat of that this time around with a healthy Alvin Kamara and Latavius Murray in the backfield, not to mention Taysom Hill.

Speaking of Kamara, he is an absolute touchdown machine right, having scored 31 times in 31 career games, so if you see any odds over 1.60 you may want to plough your money on the former Tennessee Volunteer. Murray also has a healthy scoring record despite never really being the bell cow in an offence with 34 scores in 77 games, so despite the dominance of Kamara, you may also get some value in backing Murray.

Michael Thomas is head and shoulders above every other receiver on the Saints offence, but that is usually reflected in his odds, so it’s very unlikely you will see odds big enough to warrant backing the young stud. Tre’Quan Smith had 5 scores as a rookie, so may be one to watch, although with Ted Ginn Sr returning to the offense his targets may dwindle slightly, so for the moment I there isn’t much to like in terms of anytime touchdown scorers.

Jared Cook was a big off-season acquisition, and probably gives Brees his best receiving tight-end since he had Jimmy Graham in his prime. Although despite his talent, Cook has never been a real end-zone threat so the chances of the odds being big enough are very slim.


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