Tennessee Titans – Where’s The Value?

2733_tennessee_titans-helmet-2018It was a strange season for the Titans, in the first half of the season they looked very much a pass first offence with Dion Lewis seeing a huge workload, before Mike Vrabel realised that simply wasn’t going to work with a cautious Marcus Mariota under centre, so he reverted to more of a smash mouth approach with Derrick Henry seeing the majority of the work, with only a loss to the Colts in week 17 seeing them narrowly miss out on the playoffs. As for the defence, it looks like one of the strongest units in the NFL right now, with Dean Pees working his magic.

Now it’s not all doom and gloom for Mariota, at least he provided one of last season’s biggest winners as he ran one in against the Cowboys priced 7/1. Having scored 11 in 56 starts he may once again provide another big priced winner.

Derrick Henry blew up (in a good way) towards the end of last season, rushing for nearly 600 yards in his final 4 games, on his way to a 12 touchdown season. However, those numbers were reflected in his odds come the end of the season so you may not be worth backing at the moment whilst everyone is so high on the former Crimson Tide alum. Dion Lewis was pretty much non-existent at the end of season, so until he carves a role out in the offence it’s best to steer clear.

Speaking of steering clear, that may also apply to the Titans wideouts, with Corey Davis leading the way with 800 yards and 5 touchdowns, no part of the blame may fall on Mariota, but he has no excuses this season with the addition of Adam Humphries and A.J. Brown. At the moment none of those guys are worth backing unless you see so extremely big odds, which I very much doubt you will.

The other issue for the Titans last season was the loss of Delanie Walker on opening day. Jonnu Smith tried to fill the void, but it’s difficult to replace a guy that has caught 60 balls a year for the past 3 seasons. Walker has around a 34% scoring rate with the Titans, so if he can return to full health then odds over 3/1 will appeal.

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