Game: Atlanta Falcons @ New Orleans Saints
Kick-Off: 18:00 GMT
Market: Anytime Touchdown Scorer
Selection: Julio Jones
Best Odds: 2.60 with Betfair
Next Best: 2.50 with Several
Lowest Acceptable Odds: 2.30
Comment: “With Matt Ryan back in the line-up the Falcons may atleast have a small chance of winning in New Orleans this week. Julio is having yet another stellar season, and with the Falcons defence leaking points it will be up to the Falcons offence to keep the scoreboard ticking over.”
Game: Buffalo Bills @ Cleveland Browns
Kick-Off: 18:00 GMT
Market: Anytime Touchdown Scorer
Selection: Josh Allen
Best Odds: 3.75 with Betfair
Next Best: 3.50 with Paddy Power
Lowest Acceptable Odds: 2.75
Comment: “After backing Allen last weekend at slightly smaller odds, he obliged by getting into the end-zone, so I was surprised to see the odds actually increase this week, especially against a Browns run defence that is allowing nearly 5 yards a carry.”
Game: Buffalo Bills @ Cleveland Browns
Kick-Off: 18:00 GMT
Market: Anytime Touchdown Scorer
Selection: Odell Beckham Jr
Best Odds: 3.25 with Unibet
Next Best: 2.88 with Several
Lowest Acceptable Odds: 2.50
Comment: “OBJ had a decent day against the Broncos last Sunday, although again failed to find the end-zone, and it doesn’t get much easier against a Bills secondary that has allowed only 5 touchdowns through the air this season. However, if the Browns are try and get the fans back on side then Beckham needs to be a major part of that. I don’t love the matchup, but I love the odds.”
Game: Carolina Panthers @ Green Bay Packers
Kick-Off: 21:25 GMT
Market: Anytime Touchdown Scorer
Selection: Alex Armah
Best Odds: 26.00 with Betfair
Next Best: 23.00 with Paddy Power
Lowest Acceptable Odds: 15.00
Comment: “After missing out on Armah in Week 1, I go back to the well. Armah was on the field for a season high number of snaps against the Titans, and could easily take one into the end-zone if the Panthers get inside the 5 yard line.”
Game: Los Angeles Rams @ Pittsburgh Steelers
Kick-Off: 21:25 GMT
Market: Anytime Touchdown Scorer
Selection: Todd Gurley
Best Odds: 1.95 with Unibet
Next Best: 1.91 with Several
Lowest Acceptable Odds: 1.73
Comment: “For me the bookies keep undervaluing Gurley because of his knee issue, which I understand, but yet he has still managed to score 7 times in 7 starts this season, so I’m more than happy to take odds approaching evens.”
Game: Minnesota Vikings @ Dallas Cowboys
Kick-Off: 01:20 GMT
Market: Anytime Touchdown Scorer
Selection: Dak Prescott
Best Odds: 4.00 with Several
Next Best: 3.80 with Several
Lowest Acceptable Odds: 3.50
Comment: “Playing for a fat new contract, Dak is playing the best football of his career, and with 21 rushing touchdowns in 56 career starts (37% scoring rate), odds of 4.00 (25%) offer significant value, especially when playing at home in Jerry’s world.”
As per usual, stake 3% of your starting bankroll onto each selection.
For those of you who prefer a points system, start with an initial betting bank of 100 points, and stake 3 points per selection.
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