Tua Tagovailoa to be drafted Over 3.5 @ 1.91 with Will Hill
Let’s be honest, Joe Burrow is going number 1 whatever happens, even if the Bengals do trade the pick to the Dolphins (which is unlikely). So that leaves the 2nd and 3rd picks. If the Redskins can’t find a trade partner then they won’t pass up on Chase Young, and even if they did, I actually believe they may go for an offensive tackle. Tackle would make sense with Trent Williams basically refusing to play for the Redskins ever again, and the fact they traded for Kyle Allen in the off-season. So the 3rd selection…. pretty much every mock has the Lions taking cornerback Jeff Okudah, and after trading away Darius Slay you would say that makes perfect sense, although they did sign Desmond Trufant. The Lions also lost Graham Glasnow to the Broncos, so someone like Tristan Wrifs, who projects as a guard in the NFL could fill the void, but the 3rd overall pick is very high for a guard not named Quentin Nelson. So what’s the Lions other option? They trade out to a team in need of a QB, most likely the Dolphins or Chargers, but who’s to say that pick would be Tua, given his extensive injury list at such a young age I feel that most GM’s would see him as too much of a risk, enter Justin Herbert. Whatever the outcome of the Top 3 picks, I don’t expect Tua’s name to be called until at least pick 5 or 6. If you fancy a little side bet with this one how about Justin Herbert as the 2nd QB taken @ 3.75 with Betfred.
Jedrick Wills to be drafted Under 9.5 @ 1.91 with Will Hill
There is 4 outstanding offensive lineman that could go in the Top 10 of this years draft. They are the aforementioned Wills, Mekhi Becton, Andrew Thomas, and Tristan Wrifs. Now there isn’t much to separate the 4, although as I mentioned above, most scouts are saying that Wrifs projects as a guard, which will probably hurt his draft stock ever so slightly. That leaves Wills, Becton, and Thomas. Becton is an absolute beast at 6’7” and 365lbs, but is nowhere near as polished as Wills, which is hard to believe when you consider that Wills is just 20 years old. Now lets take a look at possible landing spots. Bengals at 1 are obviously out of the mix, but the Redskins at 2 are crying out for a tackle, Lions at 3 is unlikely after paying Vaitai 50 million to play right tackle, the Giants at 4 did sign Cameron Fleming, but is he really the answer, and Nate Solder has been far from solid on the blindside. Next up you have the Dolphins at 5 and the Chargers at 6, and whilst both actually have a need at tackle it would tough for them to pass up on a QB. That leaves the Panthers, Cardinals, and Jaguars at 7, 8, and the all important 9th pick. The Panthers look set with Okung and Moton at tackle, but the Cards and Jags are both crying out for offensive line help, with the Cardinals filling most of their needs in the off-season with the additions of Hopkins at WR, Phillips at NT, Kennard at DE/OLB, and Campbell at ILB, that pretty much just leaves the offensive line. The same can’t be said for the Jaguars who have multiple needs, so could go a few different ways with their pick. If Isaiah Simmons is still available then no way they pass him up, but any other DE, DT, or S would be a little bit of a reach at this early stage of round 1, making the solid choice one of the offensive lineman that they could pair with Jawaan Taylor. So, after all is said and done I truly believe one of the Redskins, Giants, Cardinals, or Jaguars will take Wills, and who’s to say that the Dolphins, Lions or Chargers may not spring a draft day surprise. Again, if you’re looking for a sneaky side bet, then you can get 200/1 for Wills to go 2nd overall.