Spread and Totals Selections – Week 11

Atlanta Falcons at New Orleans Saints – Falcons +5 @ 1.91 with Will Hill

I think the Saints are hoping that Jameis Winston will step into the offence much like Teddy Bridgewater did last season; however, they are very much different players. Bridgewater is more your Drew Brees dink and dunk, protect the football style of quarterback, whereas Winston is a turnover machine, and loves taking shots downfield. The Falcons have won two straight under Raheem Morris, and he really has the defence playing at another level, with a win this week pushing them back into some form of playoff contention. The Falcons have more than enough fire power on offence to stay in this game, and at least keep it within the 5 point buffer.

Tennessee Titans at Baltimore Ravens – Titans +6.5 @ 1.91 with Will Hill

Remember back in January when the Titans handled the Ravens 28-12 in their own back yard? Well, I do, but it would appear that the bookmakers don’t making the Titans nearly a touchdown underdog. For me, the Ravens are currently a little weaker than last season, on both sides of the football, with injuries beginning to mount the last thing they want to see is Derrick Henry running straight at them. Yes, the Ravens will be looking for revenge, but after a tough loss at home to the Colts, the Titans need to regain the top spot in the AFC South.

Miami Dolphins at Denver Broncos – Broncos +3.5 @ 1.93 with Red Zone

The Dolphins are riding high on the back on a 5 game winning streak, scoring touchdowns from all phases of the game, but they face one of the NFL’s great levellers this Sunday, as they enter the rarefied air of Mile High Stadium. The Broncos have played tough the past few weeks, without much fruition, although their running attack could be a real factor against a Dolphins team allowing nearly 5 yards a carry. I’m sure defensive coordinator Ed Donnatell will have some very exotic looks to try and confuse Tua as he enters just his third NFL start. It’s never wise giving the Broncos a 3 point head start at home.

Green Bay Packers at Indianapolis Colts – Packers +2 @ 1.91 with Unibet

Final play this weekend is the 7-2 Green Bay Packers, a somewhat surprising underdog as they travel to the 6-3 Indianapolis Colts. I can’t help but think this is a market over-reaction to last week’s action, as the Colts dominated the Titans in Tennessee, with the Packers struggling at home to the Jags. Now I get where their coming from, but there’s no way that the Packers will underestimate the Colts like they did their fellow AFC South rivals last week. Aaron Rodgers is playing some sensational football, with a quarterback rating of 116.4, the second highest mark of his career thus far. The Colts schedule has been very ‘soft’ thus far having only played 2 teams with a winning record.

Totals

Cardinals at Seahawks – Under 56.5 points

Steelers at Jaguars – Under 47.5 points

Packers at Colts – Under 51.5 points

Chiefs at Raiders – Under 57 points

All selections are advised at 1 point each, with a 100 point bankroll.

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