Another winning week as we go 3-1 with the Washington Football Team the only ones holding us back from the ‘clean sweep’, which was very disappointing given the fact that they dominated the game but failed to score a single point in 5 trips to the redzone! Nevertheless that 17-10-1 on the season.
As I suspected the Panthers couldn’t handle the cold at MetLife down stadium losing to the Giants last Sunday. However, I do feel that they have far better matchups against the Falcons who have somehow got themselves back into play-off contention. Let’s be honest, di anyone really think that Sam Darnold was the answer? Whilst Kyle Pitts has come on leaps and bounds in the last few weeks the Panthers do have one of the best defences against tight-ends in the league. Atlanta have been poor at home winning only 2 of their last 10 matches, and after eeking a few close games lately I think the defence may get found out by the Panthers receivers.
Washington Football Team at Denver Broncos – Washington +3 @ 2.00 with Sky Bet (back down to +3)
As I said above Washington in large parts actually outplayed the Packers last week and the much talked about front 4 showed up hassling Rodgers for most of the game. If they can repeat that performance at Mile High then the very average Broncos offence may struggle to get many points on the board, and with a defence that’s full of injuries it may be enough for Taylor Heinicke to get back on track. I don’t expect a lot of points and I fancy Washington to come away with a narrow victory. Despite talk of the Broncos being a dominate home team they have in fact only won 3 of their last 11 with Washington winning 5 of their last 7 road games.
Dallas Cowboys at Minnesota Vikings – Vikings +2.5 @ 1.98 with Mansion Bet (back down to +1)
I actually really like the Cowboys this season, but just not in this matchup. With several injuries along the defensive line, I feel they’ll struggle to slow down both Dalvin Cook and Alexander Mattison which allows Kirk Cousins to work off play-action which he is very prolific at. Trevon Diggs has had an amazing start to 2021 but he still likes to take some risks and bite on plays, that could prove costly against a deep ball threat in Justin Jefferson. Let’s not forget that Dak is also struggling with an ankle problem that could hinder his mobility in the pocket. Minnesota has a strong home record and making them underdogs seems a little disrespectful.
New York Giants at Kansas City Chiefs – Giants +10 @ 1.91 with Will Hill (back down to +8)
Now, my last selection of this week I’m a tint bot hesitant to post…….. There is huge value in the Giants (almost 30%) but I can’t help but think maybe Patrick Mahomes just has one ‘those’ games where he lights it up, that however is a gut feeling and not numbers. The numbers would tell you that the Chiefs have been very poor at protecting Mahomes this season and now face a Giants defence that sacked Sam Darnold and P.J. Walker 6 times last week. The offence is also getting healthy as they’re hopeful that Saquon Barkley, Sterling Shepherd, Kadarius Toney, and Kenny Golladay return to action on Monday night. If they do, then the Chiefs porous defence may have some trouble. New York have actually won 4 of their last 7 road games
Plenty of value to be had in the Green Bay Packers on Thursday night, but with Covid amongst their ranks I can’t take the risk.
All selections are advised at 1 point each, with a 100 point bankroll.