2-1 last week as we keep topping up that profit nicely. Now 28-15-1 on the season.
Las Vegas Raiders at Dallas Cowboys – Raiders +7.5 @ 1.91 with Several (back down to +7)
We kick off proceedings with some Thanksgiving Day football where the Raiders should at least be able to keep it close against the Cowboys. Dallas is coming off a tough loss against the Chiefs and it’s been a very quick turnaround meaning that are unlikely to have Amari Cooper or Ceedee Lamb on offence. They should find success on the ground though as Joe Mixon did against Las Vegas last Sunday, but the Injuries on the Dallas defence lead me to believe that Derek Carr can at least keep pace. Whilst Micah Parsons looks devastating off the edge without Randy Gregory or Demarcus Lawrence on the other side Las Vegas has enough weapons on offence to move the ball downfield. Having won 7 of their last 9 road games there’s big value in the silver and black.
Pittsburgh Steelers at Cincinnati Bengals – Steelers +5 @ 1.89 with Smarkets Sportsbook (back down to +4)
If the Steelers want to stay in the AFC North race then a victory against the once Bungals is a must. Joe Burrow has seemed a little out of sink in the past few weeks, and with Pittsburgh welcoming back T.J. Watt, Joe Haden and Minkah Fitzpatrick things won’t get any easier. The Bengals defence looks much improved on previous seasons, and I don’t expect Big Ben to have it all his own way. I would imagine this contest comes down to a late field goal, which is perfect when the Steelers are being offered at +5/4.5.
Minnesota Vikings at San Francisco 49ers – Vikings +3.5 @ 1.91 with Paddy Power (back down to +3)
I don’t want to sound like a broken record, but…… The 49ers really don’t play well at home, and the defence is far removed from the juggernaut that it was under Robert Salah. Granted they’ve managed to turn their season around in recent weeks with wins over the Rams and Jaguars, but they face a Vikings side that could quite feasible be undefeated this season. The Minnesota defence may have taken a step back, but the offence is one of the best in the NFL and extremely well balanced with Justin Jefferson pretty much uncoverable right now. The Vikings have lost 3 of their 6 road games but never by more than a field goal, with the 49ers winning only 1 of their last 9 at home.
Philadelphia Eagles at New York Giants – Under 46 points @ 1.91 with Several (back down to 45.5)
Minnesota Vikings at San Francisco 49ers – Over 48 points @ 1.92 with Unibet (back down to 48.5)
Decent value in the Packers, but I have concerns over Aaron Rodgers toe injury. Colts and Giants both have around 8% value, which is a little shy for me. Browns/Ravens overs has potential, but both teams have injury concerns in key positions.
All selections are advised at 1 point each, with a 100 point bankroll.