3-2 for us in Week 12, with a few frustrating results we were still able to keep ticking over. 31-17-1 on the season.
Philadelphia Eagles at New York Jets – Jets +7 @ 2.00 with SpreadEx (back down to +6)
Let’s kick things off with the J.E.T.S, jets, jets, jets! Whilst I am far from comfortable with rookie quarterback Zach Wilson I do think the defence is on the up and as the Giants showed last weekend, if you can stop the Eagles ground attack, then you can stop the Eagles. Jalen Hurts is also nursing an ankle injury and whilst it is being played down by the coaching staff it did seem to affect him towards the end of the game. It’s never easy to play back-to-back road games, and with the Jets coming off a victory in Houston they should at least keep this one close with gang green winning 3 of their last 6 at home.
Baltimore Ravens at Pittsburgh Steelers – Steelers +5.5 @ 1.93 with Betfair (back down to +4)
Well, I couldn’t have been more wrong about the Steelers last weekend, as they were absolutely torn apart by the Bengals. Whilst the Ravens got the ‘W’ against the Browns it was far from impressive. Neither defence is playing to the high standards they’ve set over the past decade (and more) but I do think the Steelers have enough on offence to stay within touching distance of Baltimore. A loss this week would near enough end Pittsburgh’s hopes of winning the AFC North, and maybe even making the playoffs, so I expect a strong home performance in what is usually a close contest between these two sides. The Steelers have only lost 4 of their last 16 at home, with the Ravens winning just twice on the road in their last 6.
Denver Broncos at Kansas City Chiefs – Broncos +10 @ 1.87 with Will Hill (back down to +8)
The Broncos have been a funny old side, first they destroy the Cowboys, to only then go and lose to the Eagles at home, and then defeat the Chargers, go figure. That being said, I think there’s a lot to like about them on both sides of the ball. They run the ball well and are complimented by a strong trio of wide receivers if they were to fall behind. The Chiefs seem to have turned a corner, but they still don’t feel like the side the were last season, and certainly not the one they were in 2019/20. 10 points is a huge head start in a divisional matchup when both teams are both in the play-off hunt. Kansas City hasn’t been blowing teams out like they did in the past and with the Broncos having an innate ability to keep games close I’ll be taking the away side all the way down to +8.
Minnesota Vikings at Detroit Lions – Over 46 points @ 1.91 with Sky Bet (back down to 47)
There’s value in 49ers/Seahawks under 46.5 and Broncos/Chiefs under 47, but the head-to-head doesn’t make for great reading in those markets. I also can’t trust the Ravens and Steelers defences enough to back the unders.
All selections are advised at 1 point each, with a 100 point bankroll.